Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Linda Noskova		Ludmilla Samsonova

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.47
	1.61	2.46
	1.55	2.44	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.59	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.45)	2.46 ↓ (2.74)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linda Noskova
61.1%

Ludmilla Samsonova
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linda Noskova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Ludmilla Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linda Noskova than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Linda Noskova - Ludmilla Samsonova Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Noskova will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Samsonova will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsonova: 68.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Noskova is ranked WTA: 13. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 20.

Noskova is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Samsonova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Samsonova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Noskova might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Noskova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linda Noskova
WTA Madrid
24.04.26	Linda Noskova - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
17.04.26	Linda Noskova - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Linda Noskova	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Shuai Zhang - Linda Noskova	1:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.26	Belinda Bencic - Linda Noskova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW
- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Madrid
24.04.26	Janice Tjen - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Antonia Ruzic - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA Linz
09.04.26	Lilli Tagger - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.26	Hailey Baptiste - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Strasbourg
18.05.25	Linda Noskova - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.23	Linda Noskova - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1
WTA Bad Homburg
27.06.23	Linda Noskova - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2

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