Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 August 2025, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Eurosport 1
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Lloyd Harris		Daniel Evans

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	1.73	2.05
	1.81	2.04
	1.67	2.18	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.1)	2.01 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lloyd Harris
52.8%

Daniel Evans
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lloyd Harris's performance.

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Evans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lloyd Harris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Evans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Lloyd Harris - Daniel Evans Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Harris will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Evans will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harris: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 25.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Harris is ranked ATP: 376. Evans is ranked ATP: 128.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Evans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Harris won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lloyd Harris
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Lloyd Harris - Eliot Spizzirri	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.07.25	Dhakshineswar Suresh - Lloyd Harris	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Lloyd Harris - Mark Lajal	Lajal M. retired ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Lloyd Harris	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWL?L
- Daniel Evans
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Borna Gojo - Daniel Evans	Canceled ✺
31.07.25	Daniel Evans - Michael Zheng	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Daniel Evans - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
24.07.25	Daniel Evans - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Alex Michelsen - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 ?LWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.05.25	Lloyd Harris - Daniel Evans	0:2

Lloyd Harris - Daniel Evans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide