Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday


	Alex Michelsen		Daniel Evans

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.35	3.15	Watch
	1.36	3.45
	1.32	3.32	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.36	3.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.4)	3.26 ↑ (3)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
70.8%

Daniel Evans
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Alex Michelsen - Daniel Evans Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 34. Evans is ranked ATP: 144.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Evans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Michelsen is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Michelsen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Michelsen - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 68.18%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Alex Michelsen - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
27.06.25	Corentin Moutet - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
26.06.25	Alex Michelsen - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Alex Michelsen - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
ATP Halle
20.06.25	Alex Michelsen - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWWL
- Daniel Evans
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Daniel Evans - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	Daniel Evans - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
01.07.25	Daniel Evans - Jay Clarke	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
26.06.25	Jenson Brooksby - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Daniel Evans - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWLW

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