Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nottingham 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Lloyd Harris		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
			Watch
	2.25	1.66
			Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.11	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.31)	1.69 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lloyd Harris
44.7%

Marin Cilic
55.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lloyd Harris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marin Cilic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Lloyd Harris - Marin Cilic Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Harris will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cilic will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Harris (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Harris is ranked ATP: 311. Cilic is ranked ATP: 101.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Cilic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cilic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Harris won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lloyd Harris
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Lloyd Harris - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Martin Landaluce - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Ugo Blanchet - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
06.06.25	Lloyd Harris - Colton Smith	1:2 ✺
05.06.25	Martin Landaluce - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW
- Marin Cilic
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Hugo Grenier - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Marin Cilic - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Marin Cilic - Paul Jubb	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.25	Marin Cilic - Flavio Cobolli	0:3 ✺
23.05.25	Marin Cilic - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
23.05.25	Marin Cilic - Lloyd Harris	1:2

Lloyd Harris - Marin Cilic