Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vicenza, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Lorenzo Carboni

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.4	2.98
	1.37	3	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.37	2.94	Watch
	1.36	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.57)	2.95 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
68.3%

Lorenzo Carboni
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Maestrelli's performance.

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Carboni might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Maestrelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Carboni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carboni (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 228. Carboni is ranked ATP: 559.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Maestrelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Maestrelli is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maestrelli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Maestrelli - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Zsombor Piros - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Francesco Maestrelli	Stricker D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWW?
- Lorenzo Carboni
ITF Tournaments
22.05.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Filippo Mazzola - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Oleg Prihodko	0:2 ✺
12.05.25	Patrick Zahraj - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Carlos Sanchez Jover	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.05.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2
ATP Challenger
23.04.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni	2:1

Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide