Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 4, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 June 2026, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Gagliardo		Amaury Raynel

	1	2
	1.40	2.70
	1.52	2.35
	1.43	2.86
	1.48	2.44	Watch
	1.40	2.62
	1.46	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.49)	2.58 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Gagliardo
64.1%

Amaury Raynel
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Gagliardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Amaury Raynel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Gagliardo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Gagliardo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amaury Raynel than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amaury Raynel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lorenzo Gagliardo - Amaury Raynel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gagliardo is ranked ATP: 866. Raynel is ranked ATP: 828.

Recent performances by Gagliardo have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Raynel's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Raynel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gagliardo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Gagliardo
ITF Tournaments
06.06.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Anton Arzhankin	1:2 ✺
05.06.26	William Mirarchi - Lorenzo Gagliardo	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Nikola Jovic	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Aristotelis Thanos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWL
- Amaury Raynel
ITF Tournaments
02.06.26	Ivan Iutkin - Amaury Raynel	2:0 ✺
29.05.26	Josip Simundza - Amaury Raynel	2:1 ✺
26.05.26	Makar Krivoshchekov - Amaury Raynel	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Peter Makk - Amaury Raynel	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Liam Gavrielides - Amaury Raynel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

Lorenzo Gagliardo - Amaury Raynel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide