Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kursumlijska Banja 3 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Lorenzo Gagliardo		Samuel Vincent Ruggeri

	1	2
	2.16	1.71
	1.7	1.7	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.16	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.06)	1.66 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Gagliardo
44.9%

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
55.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Gagliardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Gagliardo than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Gagliardo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuel Vincent Ruggeri than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samuel Vincent Ruggeri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lorenzo Gagliardo - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gagliardo is ranked ATP: 988. Vincent Ruggeri is ranked ATP: 700.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Gagliardo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Gagliardo
ITF Tournaments
02.06.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Nikola Jovic	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Aristotelis Thanos	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Francesco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Martin Van Der Meerschen	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Svyatoslav Gulin - Lorenzo Gagliardo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLW
- Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
ITF Tournaments
03.06.26	Boris Butulija - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.05.26	Ioannis Xilas - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	Canceled ✺
17.05.26	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.04.26	Olle Wallin - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Andrei Kunitsyn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 W?LLW

Lorenzo Gagliardo - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Gagliardo - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri Predictions

Preview

Form

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