Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 18 April 2023, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	3.4	1.33
	3.25	1.33
	3.1	1.37
	3.28	1.33
	3.48	1.35
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.38	1.32	Watch
	3.2	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.4)	1.34 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
28.8%

Alexander Shevchenko
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Giustino's form might have worsened.

Alexander Shevchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Shevchenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Shevchenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Lorenzo Giustino - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Shevchenko will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Giustino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shevchenko in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Giustino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Shevchenko is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Shevchenko to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Giustino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Barcelona
16.04.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Otto Virtanen - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.04.23	Andrea Collarini - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	Omar Jasika - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
04.04.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWL
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Challenger
16.04.23	Pedro Cachin - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
15.04.23	Francesco Passaro - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
14.04.23	Sergi Perez Contri - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
13.04.23	Miguel Damas - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
11.04.23	Billy Harris - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.01.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2

Lorenzo Giustino - Alexander Shevchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide