Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	Otto Virtanen		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	1.48	2.55
	1.48	2.6
	1.48	2.63
	1.49	2.7
	1.44	2.62
	1.46	2.57	Watch
	1.47	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.62)	2.6 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
63.8%

Lorenzo Giustino
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Otto Virtanen's performance.

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Giustino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Otto Virtanen - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Virtanen will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Giustino will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtanen: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Virtanen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Giustino is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Virtanen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Virtanen will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.23	Otto Virtanen - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.04.23	Max Purcell - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Otto Virtanen - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
31.03.23	Vitaliy Sachko - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
30.03.23	Antoine Hoang - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWW
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
12.04.23	Andrea Collarini - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	Omar Jasika - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
04.04.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
27.03.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
23.03.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL

Otto Virtanen - Lorenzo Giustino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide