The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lorenzo Giustino 59%
Alexander Weis 41%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.1%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.2%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Giustino's form might have worsened.
Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Weis's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Weis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.9%
0%
84.1%
Lorenzo Giustino - Alexander Weis Predictions
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 7 - 15.9%). Weis will win (votes: 37 - 84.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Weis: 73.3% – 94.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Recent matches Giustino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Weis is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Giustino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.