Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras (Portugal), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 January 2025, Monday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Ergi Kirkin

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.48	2.47	Watch
	1.47	2.57	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.53	Watch
	1.48	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.62)	2.5 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
62.8%

Ergi Kirkin
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Giustino's performance.

Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ergi Kirkin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Lorenzo Giustino - Ergi Kirkin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 262. Kirkin is ranked ATP: 285.

Two players are playing changeable.

Giustino will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.59%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ITF Tournaments
05.12.24	Pablo Masjuan Ginel - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
04.12.24	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
01.12.24	Gauthier Onclin - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
28.11.24	Alexander Donski - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWW
- Ergi Kirkin
ITF Tournaments
10.12.24	Ergi Kirkin - Svyatoslav Gulin	0:2 ✺
22.11.24	Ergi Kirkin - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
21.11.24	Ergi Kirkin - Admir Kalender	2:0 ✺
20.11.24	Ergi Kirkin - Dali Blanch	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Ergi Kirkin - Lasse Poertner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWW

Lorenzo Giustino - Ergi Kirkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide