Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bunschoten, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2025, Monday


	Gauthier Onclin		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.38	3.1
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.3	3.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.62)	2.9 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gauthier Onclin
67.9%

Lorenzo Giustino
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gauthier Onclin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gauthier Onclin's performance.

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Giustino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gauthier Onclin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Giustino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gauthier Onclin - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Users Predictions: Gauthier Onclin will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gauthier Onclin will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Onclin is ranked ATP: 206. Giustino is ranked ATP: 272.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Onclin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Onclin will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Onclin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.44%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Gauthier Onclin - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Constant Lestienne - Gauthier Onclin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.25	Gauthier Onclin - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
13.06.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Lucas Poullain - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLWW
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
01.07.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Tristan Lamasine	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Rafael Jodar - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Daniel Vallejo - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Valentin Vacherot - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.12.24	Gauthier Onclin - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1

Gauthier Onclin - Lorenzo Giustino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide