Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	2.95	1.43
	3.05	1.35	Watch
			Watch
	2.94	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.68)	1.38 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
31.9%

Ignacio Buse
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	0%	46.7%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Buse will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Merida Aguilar: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 3 - 60%). Buse (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Buse (1.78) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1.5 Sets - Buse (1.99) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Buse (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 170. Buse is ranked ATP: 135.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Buse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Buse is a strong favorite.

We predict that Buse will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merida Aguilar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLW
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Ignacio Buse - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Ignacio Buse - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Ignacio Buse - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Ben Shelton - Ignacio Buse	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.05.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ignacio Buse	0:2

Upcoming Matches