Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bari, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Giustino		John Sperle

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.85
	1.38	2.90	Watch
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.63	2.20
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.35	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)	2.74 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
66%

John Sperle
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

John Sperle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for John Sperle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Lorenzo Giustino - John Sperle Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sperle will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 210., and Sperle is ranked ATP: 672..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Giustino could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Giustino holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 65.02%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Gerard Campana Lee	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Enrique Carrascosa Diaz	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.08.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Benjamin Hassan	Giustino L. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWWL?
- John Sperle
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Franco Agamenone - John Sperle	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	John Sperle - Giuseppe La Vela	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Jay Clarke - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Javier Barranco Cosano - John Sperle	Barranco Cosano J. Retired ✺
20.09.26	Sergi Fita Juan - John Sperle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWL?W

Lorenzo Giustino - John Sperle: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide