Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Zaragoza, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Martin Krumich

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
	1.55	2.38
	1.41	2.64	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.78	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.78)	2.12 ↑ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
56%

Martin Krumich
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Giustino's performance.

Martin Krumich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Martin Krumich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Giustino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Krumich than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Martin Krumich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lorenzo Giustino - Martin Krumich Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Giustino (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Giustino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 285. Krumich is ranked ATP: 505.

Giustino is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Krumich is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Krumich may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Gerard Campana Lee	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Izan Almazan Valiente	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Noah Lopez Cherubino	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWL?
- Martin Krumich
ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Miguel Damas - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
02.10.25	Oscar Jose Gutierrez - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Maxim Mrva - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Martin Krumich - Patrik Homola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW

Lorenzo Giustino - Martin Krumich: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide