Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sabadell 2, clay - Semi-finalsDate: 27 September 2025, Saturday
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Lorenzo Giustino |
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Nicolas Alvarez Varona |
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- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lorenzo Giustino
43.5% | Nicolas Alvarez Varona
56.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+3.8%)Lorenzo Giustino - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Giustino is ranked ATP: 281. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 302.Now, both players are in good form.Alvarez Varona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match. We predict that Alvarez Varona will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Giustino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.63%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ITF Tournaments | | | 29.09.24 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Lorenzo Giustino | 1:2 | | ATP Challenger | | | 19.11.23 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Lorenzo Giustino | 2:0 | | ATP Gijon | | | 09.10.22 | Lorenzo Giustino - Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 0:2 |
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