Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TODI (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 August 2023, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2	1.72
	1.9	1.86
	2.1	1.76
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2.01	1.74	Watch
	1.88	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.94)	1.79 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
47.8%

Mathys Erhard
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Lorenzo Giustino - Mathys Erhard Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Erhard will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giustino is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Erhard is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giustino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
15.08.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Canceled ✺
01.08.23	Antoine Escoffier - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
18.07.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
10.07.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Sandro Kopp	0:2 ✺
07.07.23	Calvin Hemery - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 ?LLLL
- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
14.08.23	Mathys Erhard - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
13.08.23	Mathys Erhard - Ramkumar Ramanathan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.08.23	Mathys Erhard - Giovanni Oradini	1:2 ✺
04.08.23	Mathys Erhard - Gian Matias Di Natale	2:0 ✺
03.08.23	Mathys Erhard - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWW

Lorenzo Giustino - Mathys Erhard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide