Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Liege, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday


	Miguel Damas		Gilles Arnaud Bailly

	1	2
	2.20	1.60
	2.65	1.42
	2.32	1.63
	2.62	1.42	Watch
	2.6	1.4
	2.69	1.41	Watch
	2.65	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.9)	1.47 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
36.7%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Miguel Damas - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Damas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bailly will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Damas is ranked ATP: 280. Bailly is ranked ATP: 210.

Damas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bailly has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bailly could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Miguel Damas - Harold Huens	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Miguel Damas - Benjamin Hassan	1:2 ✺
16.06.26	Miguel Damas - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL
- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Andres Santamarta Roig - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
29.06.26	Henri Squire - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Cosme Rolland de Ravel	1:2 ✺
16.06.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW

Miguel Damas - Gilles Arnaud Bailly: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide