Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MANAMA (BAHRAIN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 February 2023, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Mohamed Safwat

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.4	2.9
	1.48	2.69
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.82)	2.79 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
66.5%

Mohamed Safwat
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Giustino's performance.

Mohamed Safwat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mohamed Safwat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Giustino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mohamed Safwat than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mohamed Safwat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Lorenzo Giustino - Mohamed Safwat Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Safwat will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giustino is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Safwat is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Safwat could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Giustino is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Giustino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
30.01.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Gian Marco Moroni	Giustino L. retired ✺
29.01.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
20.01.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
19.01.23	Kimmer Coppejans - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
18.01.23	Stefan Kozlov - Lorenzo Giustino	Kozlov S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 ?WLW?
- Mohamed Safwat
ATP Challenger
13.02.23	Mohamed Safwat - Kai Wehnelt	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Ulises Blanch - Mohamed Safwat	Blanch U. retired ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
04.02.23	Mohamed Safwat - Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi	Canceled ✺
03.02.23	Mohamed Safwat - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.01.23	Mohamed Safwat - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 W??LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.09.19	Mohamed Safwat - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1
06.06.18	Mohamed Safwat - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2
24.03.16	Mohamed Safwat - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0

Lorenzo Giustino - Mohamed Safwat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide