Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sabadell 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Pedro Vives Marcos

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.58	2.33
	1.39	2.71	Watch
	1.58	2.26	Watch
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)	2.38 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
60.6%

Pedro Vives Marcos
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Pedro Vives Marcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Alvarez Varona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Vives Marcos than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Vives Marcos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Pedro Vives Marcos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Alvarez Varona (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alvarez Varona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 302. Vives Marcos is ranked ATP: 667.

Alvarez Varona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vives Marcos is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Alvarez Varona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alvarez Varona could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alvarez Varona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Emilien Demanet - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLW?
- Pedro Vives Marcos
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Pedro Vives Marcos - Tomas Curras Abasolo	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Pedro Vives Marcos - Yanaki Milev	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Joao Victor Couto Loureiro - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Toprak Avcibasi - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Jasza Szajrych - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.05.21	Pedro Vives Marcos - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1
25.11.20	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Pedro Vives Marcos	2:1

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Pedro Vives Marcos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide