The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lorenzo Giustino 44.7%
Riccardo Bonadio 55.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.7%
50.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.9%
50.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Riccardo Bonadio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riccardo Bonadio than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Riccardo Bonadio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
0%
27.3%
Lorenzo Giustino - Riccardo Bonadio Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Bonadio will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Giustino: 54.1% – 91.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Two players are playing changeable.
Bonadio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Bonadio will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Giustino won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.