Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vic, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Steven Diez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.1
	1.36	3.06
	1.36	3.02	Watch
	1.29	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.58)	3.13 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
70.2%

Steven Diez
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Giustino's performance.

Steven Diez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Steven Diez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Giustino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steven Diez than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Steven Diez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lorenzo Giustino - Steven Diez Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Giustino (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Giustino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 302. Diez is ranked ATP: 579.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Diez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Giustino is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Giustino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.64%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ITF Tournaments
15.05.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Sergi Fita Juan	2:1 ✺
14.05.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Luis Garcia Paez	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Lorenzo Giustino	Llamas Ruiz P. retired ✺
30.04.25	Luis Garcia Paez - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWL?W
- Steven Diez
ITF Tournaments
15.05.25	Steven Diez - Andres Santamarta Roig	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Steven Diez - Michiel De Krom	De Krom M. retired ✺
30.04.25	Sekou Bangoura - Steven Diez	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.04.25	Steven Diez - Ryan Seggerman	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Steven Diez - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 W?LLL

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
12.06.20	Steven Diez - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2
ATP Challenger
21.06.19	Lorenzo Giustino - Steven Diez	2:1

Lorenzo Giustino - Steven Diez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide