Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday


	Max Alcala Gurri		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.69	2.21
	1.78	1.97	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.69	2.07	Watch
	1.7	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.87)	2.07 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Alcala Gurri
54.9%

Lorenzo Giustino
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Max Alcala Gurri - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alcala Gurri will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcala Gurri (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 427. Giustino is ranked ATP: 298.

Alcala Gurri is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Giustino is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Alcala Gurri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alcala Gurri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Max Alcala Gurri - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
04.08.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Dominik Kellovsky	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Sebastian Dominko	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.07.25	Miguel Damas - Max Alcala Gurri	2:1 ✺
24.07.25	Ignacio Parisca - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Herman Hoeyeraal - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Jan Choinski - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
14.07.25	Gauthier Onclin - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Tristan Lamasine	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Rafael Jodar - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.05.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0
28.03.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0

Max Alcala Gurri - Lorenzo Giustino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide