Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 June 2025, Thursday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
			Watch
	3.16	1.39
			Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.99	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.87)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
31.7%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lorenzo Giustino - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tirante (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Tirante (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Thiago Augustin Tirante will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tirante (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 295. Tirante is ranked ATP: 129.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Giustino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tirante is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Giustino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 67.21%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Daniel Vallejo - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Valentin Vacherot - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.06.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
13.06.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Lucas Bouquet	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLWW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Viktor Durasovic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Denis Yevseyev - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Damir Dzumhur	1:3 ✺
22.05.25	Ethan Quinn - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	August Holmgren - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLW

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