Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday


	August Holmgren		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	4.1	1.2
	3.25	1.3	Watch
	3.84	1.27
	3.94	1.23	Watch
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	3.54	1.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.31)	1.25 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

August Holmgren
24.6%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
75.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

71.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for August Holmgren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

August Holmgren - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tirante (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Holmgren (1.83) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Holmgren (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tirante (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Holmgren is ranked ATP: 172. Tirante is ranked ATP: 115.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Holmgren may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tirante is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Holmgren won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- August Holmgren
ATP US Open
19.08.25	August Holmgren - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.08.25	August Holmgren - Yu Hsiou Hsu	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	August Holmgren - Giles Hussey	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	August Holmgren - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	August Holmgren - Darian King	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Zsombor Piros - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Jack Kennedy - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
21.05.25	August Holmgren - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2
ATP Stockholm
13.10.24	August Holmgren - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2

August Holmgren - Thiago Augustin Tirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide