Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2 - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday


	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez		Franco Roncadelli

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.07	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.71	Watch
	1.78	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.74)	1.72 ↓ (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
46.4%

Franco Roncadelli
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez's form might have worsened.

Franco Roncadelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Franco Roncadelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Franco Roncadelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Franco Roncadelli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Roncadelli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Franco Roncadelli will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rodriguez is ranked ATP: 430. Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 370.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Roncadelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rodriguez won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
ATP Challenger
02.11.25	Christoph Negritu - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.10.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Tomas Martinez - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.09.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL
- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
02.11.25	Ignacio Carou - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Ignacio Buse - Franco Roncadelli	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Franco Roncadelli - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.04.24	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Franco Roncadelli	2:0
ITF Tournaments
11.11.23	Franco Roncadelli - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	1:2
03.10.23	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Franco Roncadelli	1:2

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Franco Roncadelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide