Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2 - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Christoph Negritu		Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.09	Watch
	1.67	2.07	Watch
			Watch
	1.68	2.06
	1.48	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.76)	2.16 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Christoph Negritu
57%

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christoph Negritu's performance.

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Christoph Negritu - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Negritu (votes: 1 - 50%). Rodriguez (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Negritu is ranked ATP: 305. Rodriguez is ranked ATP: 430.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Negritu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Luka Mikrut - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Robin Bertrand - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Christoph Negritu - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Christoph Negritu - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Christoph Negritu - Leonardo Mazzucchelli	2:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLW
- Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
ITF Tournaments
11.10.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Tomas Martinez - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.09.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW

Christoph Negritu - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide