Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cali, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Mariano Kestelboim		Franco Roncadelli

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.97	1.75	Watch
	1.94	1.79	Watch
			Watch
	1.95	1.79	Watch
	2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.84)	1.76 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mariano Kestelboim
47.1%

Franco Roncadelli
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Kestelboim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Franco Roncadelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Kestelboim than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mariano Kestelboim - Franco Roncadelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Kestelboim is ranked ATP: 407. Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 401.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Kestelboim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kestelboim won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Franco Roncadelli - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Kestelboim
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Matteo Covato	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Mariano Kestelboim	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Mariano Kestelboim	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Alex Barrena - Mariano Kestelboim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL
- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
01.10.25	Franco Roncadelli - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Franco Roncadelli - Aristotelis Thanos	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Franco Roncadelli - Franco Ribero	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Franco Roncadelli - Hernan Casanova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.10.24	Franco Roncadelli - Mariano Kestelboim	0:2
ITF Tournaments
06.09.24	Mariano Kestelboim - Franco Roncadelli	2:1
22.02.24	Franco Roncadelli - Mariano Kestelboim	0:2
16.11.22	Franco Roncadelli - Mariano Kestelboim	Kestelboim M. retired

Mariano Kestelboim - Franco Roncadelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide