Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Villa Constitucion, clay - Final

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday


	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez		Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

	1	2
	2.80	1.36
	2.55	1.44
	2.95	1.41
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.9	1.39
	2.81	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (1.84)	1.4 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
33.4%

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez's form might have worsened.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rodriguez is ranked ATP: 499. Aguilar Cardozo is ranked ATP: 551.

Now, both players are in good form.

Rodriguez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aguilar Cardozo might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Aguilar Cardozo will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rodriguez won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.27%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
ITF Tournaments
18.07.26	Thiago Cigarran - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Fermin Tenti	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Federico Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Aditya Vishal Balsekar	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Lucas Andrade Da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWL
- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
ITF Tournaments
18.07.26	Maximo Zeitune - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Estevez	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Luis Jose Nakamine	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Enzo Kohlmann	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Juan Estevez - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2
ITF Tournaments
03.08.25	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	1:2
03.07.25	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	1:2

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide