Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Lima, clay - Final

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez		Juan Estevez

	1	2
	1.73	2.06
	1.03	8.20	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.73	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.7)	3.22 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
66.8%

Juan Estevez
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez's performance.

Juan Estevez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Estevez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Estevez than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Estevez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Juan Estevez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rodriguez is ranked ATP: 463. Estevez is ranked ATP: 568.

Rodriguez is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Estevez is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Estevez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rodriguez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.67%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
ITF Tournaments
06.12.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Pierre Delage	2:0 ✺
05.12.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Strong Kirchheimer	2:0 ✺
04.12.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Christopher Li	2:0 ✺
03.12.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Luis Jose Nakamine	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWWL
- Juan Estevez
ITF Tournaments
06.12.25	Toby Alex Kodat - Juan Estevez	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Ryan Fishback - Juan Estevez	0:2 ✺
04.12.25	Andre Souza Pinto de Camargo E Silva - Juan Estevez	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Victor Lilov - Juan Estevez	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Juan Estevez - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Juan Estevez	0:2

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Juan Estevez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide