Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota 4, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.27	3.4
	1.3	3.6
	1.25	3.52	Watch
	1.26	3.49	Watch
	1.3	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.47)	3.52 ↑ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
73.4%

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's performance.

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Varillas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Varillas is ranked ATP: 327. Rodriguez is ranked ATP: 430.

Varillas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rodriguez has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rodriguez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Varillas is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Varillas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Hady Habib - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
19.11.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWW
- Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Juan Estevez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.11.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Lorenzo Gagliardo	2:1 ✺
13.11.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Valentin Garay	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Franco Ribero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.03.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:1

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide