Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Miguel de Tucuman, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 June 2026, Thursday


	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez		Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

	1	2
	3.40	1.28
	3.3	1.29
	3.61	1.32
	3.34	1.28	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.27	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.26)	1.29 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
27.6%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez's form might have worsened.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rodriguez will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rodriguez is ranked ATP: 462. Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 419.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Rodriguez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pucinelli De Almeida will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 59.01%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
ATP Challenger
10.06.26	Nicolas Villalon - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	1:2 ✺
09.06.26	Facundo Mena - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	Canceled ✺
12.05.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	Rodriguez L. J. Retired ✺
08.05.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Luis Guto Miguel	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 W??LW
- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Ryan Dickerson - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.06.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto	2:0 ✺
03.06.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Franco Roncadelli - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide