Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordoba, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Franco Roncadelli		Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

	1	2
	2.26	1.57
	2.44	1.58
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.23	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.01)	1.57 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Franco Roncadelli
40.5%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Franco Roncadelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Franco Roncadelli's form might have worsened.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Franco Roncadelli - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 274. Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 410.

Roncadelli is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Pucinelli De Almeida is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Roncadelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Pucinelli De Almeida will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Roncadelli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Franco Roncadelli - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Hernan Casanova - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Franco Roncadelli	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Conner Huertas Del Pino - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWW
- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Hernan Casanova	Casanova H. Retired ✺
09.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Franco Roncadelli	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Rafael Tosetto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Franco Roncadelli	1:2

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