The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lorenzo Musetti 23.5%
Reilly Opelka 76.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.1%
63.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
65.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Musetti's form might have worsened.
Reilly Opelka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reilly Opelka's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Musetti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30.9%
0%
69.1%
Lorenzo Musetti - Reilly Opelka Predictions
Users Predictions:
55 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 17 - 30.9%). Opelka will win (votes: 38 - 69.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Opelka: 56.9% โ 81.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3
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Preview
Musetti is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Opelka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Opelka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Opelka is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Musetti won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
Watch
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