Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Reggio Emilia (Italy), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Reggio Emilia (Italy) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Lorenzo Rottoli		Giovanni Fonio

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Lorenzo Rottoli
28.3%

Giovanni Fonio
71.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Rottoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Rottoli's form might have worsened.

Giovanni Fonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giovanni Fonio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Rottoli than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Recent matches Rottoli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fonio is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rottoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fonio is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rottoli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Rottoli
ITF Tournaments
16.05.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Lorenzo Rottoli	0:2 ✺
13.05.24	Lorenzo Rottoli - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.24	Alessandro Giannessi - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
21.04.24	Michael Geerts - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Michael Geerts - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLL
- Giovanni Fonio
ITF Tournaments
16.05.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
13.05.24	Federico Iannaccone - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.05.24	Jiri Vesely - Giovanni Fonio	2:1 ✺
09.05.24	Giovanni Fonio - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
08.05.24	Giovanni Fonio - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW

ITF Tournaments
02.10.19	Giovanni Fonio - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0

Lorenzo Rottoli - Giovanni Fonio