Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Cattolica, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 June 2025, Thursday


	Lorenzo Rottoli		Manuel Mazza

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.42
			Watch
	2.63	1.44
			Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.62	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.99)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Rottoli
35.4%

Manuel Mazza
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Rottoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Manuel Mazza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Rottoli than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Rottoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Mazza than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manuel Mazza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Rottoli is ranked ATP: 690. Mazza is ranked ATP: 677.

In recent matches, Rottoli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mazza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mazza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mazza is the team to beat.

We predict that Mazza will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Rottoli
ITF Tournaments
18.06.25	Lorenzo Rottoli - Andrea Meduri	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Samuel Heredia - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Piotr Pawlak - Lorenzo Rottoli	1:2 ✺
23.05.25	Lorenzo Rottoli - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLWL
- Manuel Mazza
ITF Tournaments
18.06.25	Manuel Mazza - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
12.06.25	Manuel Mazza - Tomasz Berkieta	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Giorgio Tabacco - Manuel Mazza	1:2 ✺
10.06.25	Rafael Tosetto - Manuel Mazza	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Manuel Mazza - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWW

Lorenzo Rottoli - Manuel Mazza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide