Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kigali 2 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Louis Van Herck		Maximilian Homberg

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Louis Van Herck
25.4%

Maximilian Homberg
74.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louis Van Herck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Louis Van Herck's form might have worsened.

Maximilian Homberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maximilian Homberg's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Van Herck is ranked ATP: 1301. Homberg is ranked ATP: 1045.

In recent matches, Homberg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Van Herck may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Homberg is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louis Van Herck
ITF Tournaments
08.10.25	Amaury Raynel - Louis Van Herck	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Louis Van Herck - Laurin Aerne	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Hazem Naw - Louis Van Herck	2:1 ✺
26.08.25	Tom Sickenberger - Louis Van Herck	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Sandro Kopp - Louis Van Herck	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- Maximilian Homberg
ITF Tournaments
10.10.25	Maximilian Homberg - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Yassine Dlimi - Maximilian Homberg	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Maximilian Homberg - Martin Van Der Meerschen	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Corentin Denolly - Maximilian Homberg	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Syl Gaxherri - Maximilian Homberg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLWW

Louis Van Herck - Maximilian Homberg