The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luca Castagnola 21.5%
Andrey Chepelev 78.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.4%
69.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
64.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Castagnola's form might have worsened.
Andrey Chepelev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrey Chepelev's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrey Chepelev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Luca Castagnola - Andrey Chepelev Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Castagnola is ranked ATP: 870.Chepelev is ranked ATP: 418.
Recent performances by Castagnola have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Chepelev is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Chepelev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Chepelev is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Chepelev will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
The players have not played against each other recently.
Last Results with these Odds
Luca Castagnola - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.37%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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