Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kiseljak, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kiseljak 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Yaroslav Demin		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
			Watch
	2.10	1.62
	2.15	1.62
	2.13	1.73
	2.16	1.59	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.63	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.56)	1.61 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yaroslav Demin
42.3%

Andrey Chepelev
57.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yaroslav Demin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yaroslav Demin's performance.

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Chepelev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Yaroslav Demin - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Demin is ranked ATP: 686. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 416.

Demin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chepelev is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chepelev is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Chepelev will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrey Chepelev - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 63.99%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yaroslav Demin
ITF Tournaments
12.06.26	Andrej Nedic - Yaroslav Demin	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Yaroslav Demin - Younes Lalami Laaroussi	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Yaroslav Demin - Esteban Talavera Cortes	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Yaroslav Demin	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka - Yaroslav Demin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLLW
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
12.06.26	Massimo Pizzigoni - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Valeriy Martishev - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Andrey Chepelev - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	Andrey Chepelev - Mykyta Mashtakov	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Andrey Chepelev - Bozo Barun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWW

Yaroslav Demin - Andrey Chepelev

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Yaroslav Demin - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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