Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 PESCARA (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: PESCARA (ITALY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Luca Castagnola		Carlo Alberto Caniato

	1	2
	1.52	2.4
	1.55	2.4
	1.53	2.38
	1.49	2.44	Watch
	1.49	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.44)	2.41 ↓ (2.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castagnola
61.4%

Carlo Alberto Caniato
38.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Carlo Alberto Caniato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlo Alberto Caniato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Castagnola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Castagnola will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castagnola won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
09.08.23	Luca Castagnola - Andrea Bacaloni	2:0 ✺
08.08.23	Luca Castagnola - Daniel Bagnolini	2:1 ✺
31.07.23	Luca Castagnola - Anton Matusevich	1:2 ✺
29.07.23	Luca Castagnola - Fausto Tabacco	1:2 ✺
28.07.23	Luca Castagnola - Fernando Yamacita	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLW
- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ITF Tournaments
09.08.23	Giorgio Ricca - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
08.08.23	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Riccardo Balzerani	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.23	Valentin Vacherot - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
Boys Singles Wimbledon
09.07.23	Rei Sakamoto - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.06.23	Gonzalo Bueno - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLLL

Luca Castagnola - Carlo Alberto Caniato

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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