Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 PERUGIA (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 28 July 2023, Friday


	Luca Castagnola		Fernando Yamacita

	1	2
	1.34	2.9
	1.35	3
	1.37	3.01
	1.4	2.75
	1.38	2.81	Watch
	1.36	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.56)	2.89 ↑ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castagnola
67.9%

Fernando Yamacita
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Castagnola's performance.

Fernando Yamacita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fernando Yamacita might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Castagnola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fernando Yamacita than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fernando Yamacita could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Castagnola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Castagnola is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castagnola won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
27.07.23	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Luca Castagnola	1:2 ✺
26.07.23	Luca Castagnola - Lucas Bouquet	2:0 ✺
20.07.23	Fausto Tabacco - Luca Castagnola	Castagnola L. retired ✺
19.07.23	Niccolo Baroni - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.23	Daniel Rincon - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WW?WL
- Fernando Yamacita
ITF Tournaments
27.07.23	Federico Bondioli - Fernando Yamacita	0:2 ✺
26.07.23	Francesco Liucci - Fernando Yamacita	0:2 ✺
19.07.23	Alessandro Pecci - Fernando Yamacita	2:0 ✺
12.07.23	Fernando Yamacita - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
05.07.23	Fernando Yamacita - Luca Castagnola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.07.23	Fernando Yamacita - Luca Castagnola	1:2

Luca Castagnola - Fernando Yamacita: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide