Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 PERUGIA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 July 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: PERUGIA (ITALY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Luca Castagnola		Lucas Bouquet

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Luca Castagnola
48.6%

Lucas Bouquet
51.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Lucas Bouquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Bouquet than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Recent matches Castagnola is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bouquet is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castagnola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
20.07.23	Fausto Tabacco - Luca Castagnola	Castagnola L. retired ✺
19.07.23	Niccolo Baroni - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.23	Daniel Rincon - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
09.07.23	Luca Castagnola - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.07.23	Luca Castagnola - Maxime Chazal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 ?WLWL
- Lucas Bouquet
ITF Tournaments
20.07.23	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Lucas Bouquet	2:0 ✺
18.07.23	Lucas Bouquet - Jorge Martinez Martinez	2:0 ✺
12.07.23	Lucas Bouquet - Mathys Erhard	1:2 ✺
27.06.23	Lucas Bouquet - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
22.06.23	Lucas Bouquet - Tristan Lamasine	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLL

Luca Castagnola - Lucas Bouquet