Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAN BENEDETTO (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 9 July 2023, Sunday


	Luca Castagnola		Gonzalo Villanueva

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.62
	2.16	1.67
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.16	1.64	Watch
	2.16	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.74)	1.64 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castagnola
43.5%

Gonzalo Villanueva
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Castagnola's performance.

Gonzalo Villanueva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gonzalo Villanueva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Castagnola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Villanueva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Castagnola is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villanueva has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Castagnola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
06.07.23	Luca Castagnola - Maxime Chazal	0:2 ✺
05.07.23	Fernando Yamacita - Luca Castagnola	1:2 ✺
04.07.23	Luca Castagnola - Andrea Bolla	2:0 ✺
28.06.23	Luca Castagnola - Niccolo Catini	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.23	Luca Castagnola - Sandro Kopp	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWLL
- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
02.07.23	Gonzalo Villanueva - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
02.07.23	Gonzalo Villanueva - Rigele Te	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.06.23	Samuele Pieri - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.23	Maxime Janvier - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Nino Serdarusic - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 L?LLL

Luca Castagnola - Gonzalo Villanueva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide