Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cesenatico - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cesenatico 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Luca Castagnola		Jacopo Bilardo

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.25
	1.55	2.29	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.58	2.23
	1.52	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)	2.27 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castagnola
58.9%

Jacopo Bilardo
41.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Jacopo Bilardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Luca Castagnola - Jacopo Bilardo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Castagnola is ranked ATP: 671. Bilardo is ranked ATP: 1090.

Castagnola has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bilardo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Castagnola - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.18%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
29.01.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Luca Castagnola - Massimo Giunta	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Luca Castagnola - Max Basing	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Luca Castagnola - Denis Constantin Spiridon	Spiridon D. C. retired ✺
14.01.26	Luca Castagnola - Izan Almazan Valiente	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWL?L
- Jacopo Bilardo
ITF Tournaments
27.01.26	Jacopo Bilardo - Paul Jubb	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Jacopo Bilardo - Lorenzo Rottoli	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Jorge Plans - Jacopo Bilardo	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Sandro Kopp - Jacopo Bilardo	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Jorge Plans - Jacopo Bilardo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Luca Castagnola - Jacopo Bilardo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Luca Castagnola - Jacopo Bilardo Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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