Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 13, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday


	Luca Castagnola		Louis Tessa

	1	2
	1.56	2.34
	1.53	2.38
	1.54	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.52)	2.36 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castagnola
60.4%

Louis Tessa
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Louis Tessa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louis Tessa than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louis Tessa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Luca Castagnola - Louis Tessa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Castagnola is ranked ATP: 661. Tessa is ranked ATP: 780.

Castagnola in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Tessa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castagnola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Castagnola will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Castagnola to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
16.03.25	Luca Castagnola - Tadeas Paroulek	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Abel Forger - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Fabien Salle - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Giannicola Misasi - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW
- Louis Tessa
ITF Tournaments
20.03.25	Louis Tessa - Vito Tonejc	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Louis Tessa - Luca Fantini	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Maxim Mrva - Louis Tessa	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Luca Fantini - Louis Tessa	1:2 ✺
20.02.25	Taha Baadi - Louis Tessa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLWL

Luca Castagnola - Louis Tessa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide