Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Umag, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday


	Luca Castagnola		Tomasz Berkieta

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Luca Castagnola
33.7%

Tomasz Berkieta
66.3%

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

33.8%

66.2%

Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Tomasz Berkieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomasz Berkieta than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Castagnola is ranked ATP: 897. Berkieta is ranked ATP: 543.

In recent matches, Castagnola has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Berkieta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Castagnola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Berkieta is a strong favorite.

We predict that Berkieta will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Mak Mikovic - Luca Castagnola	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Luca Castagnola - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Luca Castagnola - Nazar Oliynykov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.06.26	Francesco Forti - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.06.26	Luca Castagnola - Pietro Romeo Scomparin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW
- Tomasz Berkieta
ITF Tournaments
01.07.26	Tobia Grandinetti - Tomasz Berkieta	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.06.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Tomasz Berkieta	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Aleksandar Tolev	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Edison Ambarzumjan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWW

Luca Castagnola - Tomasz Berkieta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide