Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bali 4 (Indonesia), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 December 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bali 4 (Indonesia) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Luca Castelnuovo		Bogdan Bobrov

	1	2
	3.15	1.3
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.28	Watch
	3.15	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.56)	1.3 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castelnuovo
28.7%

Bogdan Bobrov
71.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Castelnuovo's form might have worsened.

Bogdan Bobrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bogdan Bobrov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogdan Bobrov than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Luca Castelnuovo - Bogdan Bobrov Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bobrov will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

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Preview

Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 825. Bobrov is ranked ATP: 437.

Recent matches Castelnuovo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bobrov is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Castelnuovo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bobrov is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bobrov to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castelnuovo
ITF Tournaments
22.12.24	Luca Castelnuovo - Ivan Iutkin	2:0 ✺
19.12.24	Luca Castelnuovo - Arthur Weber	0:2 ✺
18.12.24	Luca Castelnuovo - Nathan Anthony Barki	2:1 ✺
16.12.24	Giles Hussey - Luca Castelnuovo	1:2 ✺
08.11.24	Luca Castelnuovo - Alec Beckley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWL
- Bogdan Bobrov
ITF Tournaments
16.12.24	Makoto Ochi - Bogdan Bobrov	0:2 ✺
24.11.24	Khumoun Sultanov - Bogdan Bobrov	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Nick Chappell - Bogdan Bobrov	0:2 ✺
21.11.24	Aryan Shah - Bogdan Bobrov	0:2 ✺
21.11.24	S D Prajwal Dev - Bogdan Bobrov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWW

Luca Castelnuovo - Bogdan Bobrov

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Luca Castelnuovo - Bogdan Bobrov Predictions

Preview

Form

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