Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Luca Castelnuovo		Juan Alejandro Hernandez

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Luca Castelnuovo
31%

Juan Alejandro Hernandez
69%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Juan Alejandro Hernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Alejandro Hernandez than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

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Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Hernandez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Castelnuovo is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castelnuovo
ITF Tournaments
12.10.21	Gonzalo Villanueva - Luca Castelnuovo	2:1 ✺
05.10.21	Luca Castelnuovo - Boris Arias	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.09.21	Carlos Gomez-Herrera - Luca Castelnuovo	2:0 ✺
20.09.21	Luca Castelnuovo - Matias Zukas	0:2 ✺
19.09.21	Gonzalo Villanueva - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLLW
- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ITF Tournaments
09.10.21	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Christian Langmo	1:2 ✺
07.10.21	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Giles Hussey	2:1 ✺
06.10.21	Mwendwa Mbithi - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	0:2 ✺
29.09.21	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Jaimee Floyd Angele	1:2 ✺
24.09.21	Federico Agustin Gomez - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL

Luca Castelnuovo - Juan Alejandro Hernandez