Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santo Domingo 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santo Domingo 3 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Mwendwa Mbithi		Juan Alejandro Hernandez

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Mwendwa Mbithi
33.2%

Juan Alejandro Hernandez
66.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.7%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mwendwa Mbithi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Juan Alejandro Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mwendwa Mbithi than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Alejandro Hernandez than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

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Mbithi is ranked ATP: 879. Hernandez is ranked ATP: 490.

Mbithi is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hernandez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mbithi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hernandez is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mbithi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mwendwa Mbithi
ITF Tournaments
10.05.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Filippo Moroni	1:2 ✺
09.05.25	Naoya Honda - Mwendwa Mbithi	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Igor Marcondes	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Yassine Smiej	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Maxim Zhukov - Mwendwa Mbithi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWWW
- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ITF Tournaments
20.05.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Tyler Zink	0:2 ✺
14.05.25	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Dan Martin - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Felix Corwin - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Rodolfo Jauregui Sainz De Rozas - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWW

ITF Tournaments
06.10.21	Mwendwa Mbithi - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	0:2

Mwendwa Mbithi - Juan Alejandro Hernandez