Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luzhou, hard - 1/8-finalsDate: 18 June 2025, Wednesday
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Luca Castelnuovo |
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Kasidit Samrej |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.71 |
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1.42 |
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 Watch |
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2.53 |
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1.47 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↑
(2.5) |
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1.45 ↓
(1.51) |
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- The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Luca Castelnuovo
35.5% | Kasidit Samrej
64.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Kasidit Samrej has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasidit Samrej than the current prediction. (-3%) 
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Preview
Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 663. Samrej is ranked ATP: 391.Castelnuovo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Samrej is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Castelnuovo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Samrej might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castelnuovo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ITF Tournaments | | | 20.02.24 | Kasidit Samrej - Luca Castelnuovo | Castelnuovo L. retired |
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